The State of Private Credit in 2026: Why $3 Trillion Is Reshaping Real Estate Finance
Private credit has grown from ~$2T in 2020 toward ~$5T by 2029 — just as a $4T+ commercial real estate maturity wall hits. The data, with charts.

Private credit has grown from ~$2T in 2020 toward ~$5T by 2029 — just as a $4T+ commercial real estate maturity wall hits. The data, with charts.

Fintech is reshaping how investors access private credit: one application, competing offers from many lenders, and property-based underwriting. Here is what it means.

A historic commercial real estate maturity wave — roughly $1.3 trillion in loans coming due — is colliding with a bank pullback, and private credit is rushing into the gap. For sponsors facing a refinance in 2026, the lender of five years ago may no longer be there. Understanding why reframes how you should think […]

The biggest constraint on artificial intelligence isn’t chips — it’s electricity, and it is rewriting the map for AI data center real estate. US data center power demand is projected to roughly double from about 31 gigawatts in 2025 to 66 GW by 2027, and to keep climbing for a decade. With the grid unable […]

Empty downtowns and a housing shortage are colliding into one of the decade’s biggest redevelopment trends. Developers had about 90,300 apartment units in the office-conversion pipeline in early 2026 — up 28% year over year and nearly four times the 2022 total. With cities layering on tax incentives, office to residential conversion financing has become […]

The private lending market enters 2026 at an inflection point: banks are retreating, a historic wave of debt is maturing, and non-bank capital is filling the gap at record scale. This report pulls together the data investors and sponsors need to understand private real estate lending in 2026 — the numbers, the trends, and where […]

Quick answer: Office is the most scrutinized CRE sector in 2026’s repricing market. Lenders underwrite in-place occupancy and tenant rollover (WALT), the cost of releasing space (TIs and leasing commissions), the basis relative to today’s repriced values, and a credible business plan. Expect conservative leverage and a focus on durable cash flow; transitional or vacant […]

Multifamily loans finance apartment properties with five or more units, and they work differently from a single-family mortgage: the lender underwrites the building’s income, not just the borrower. The property’s net operating income (NOI) and debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) decide how much it can borrow, which is why a well-run apartment building can support […]